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[Predictive factors of mortality in extremely preterm infants]
1Department of Neonatology, the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
Insights
Extremely preterm infants born before 25 weeks gestational age (GA) face higher mortality. Factors like low birth weight, necrotizing enterocolitis, and mechanical ventilation increase risk, while intraventricular hemorrhage may be protective.
Area of Science:
- Neonatal Medicine
- Pediatric Critical Care
- Perinatology
Background:
- Extremely preterm infants (born <29 weeks gestational age) have high mortality rates.
- Identifying predictive factors for mortality is crucial for improving outcomes in this vulnerable population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate factors predicting mortality in extremely preterm infants.
- To compare mortality trends and predictive factors between two distinct time periods.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective case-control study of 268 extremely preterm infants.
- Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify predictive factors.
- Comparison of mortality between 1999-2007 and 2008-2015.
Main Results:
- Mortality was significantly higher in infants with gestational age (GA) <25 weeks.
- From 2008-2015, infant numbers increased, but mortality significantly decreased compared to 1999-2007.
- Predictive factors for mortality included GA <25 weeks, lower birth weight, stage III necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), and invasive mechanical ventilation dependence.
- Grade I and II intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) was found to be a protective factor.
Conclusions:
- Gestational age below 25 weeks, low birth weight, stage III NEC, and reliance on invasive mechanical ventilation are significant risk factors for mortality in extremely preterm infants.
- Grade I and II intraventricular hemorrhage appears to have a protective effect on mortality in this population.
Abstract:
Objective: To investigate the predictive factors of mortality in extremely preterm infants. Methods: The retrospective case-control study was accomplished in the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. A total of 268 extremely preterm infants seen from January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2015 were divided into survival group (192 cases) and death group (76 cases). The potential predictive factors of mortality were identified by univariate analysis, and then analyzed by multivariate unconditional Logistic regression analysis. The mortality and predictive factors were also compared between two time periods, which were January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2007 (65 cases) and January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2015 (203 cases). Results: The median gestational age (GA) of extremely preterm infants was 27 weeks (23+3-27+6 weeks). The mortality was higher in infants with GA of 25-<26 weeks (OR=2.659, 95% CI: 1.211-5.840) and<25 weeks (OR=10.029, 95% CI: 3.266-30.792) compared to that in infants with GA> 26 weeks. From January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2015, the number of extremely preterm infants was increased significantly compared to the previous 9 years, while the mortality decreased significantly (OR=0.490, 95% CI: 0.272-0.884). Multivariate unconditional Logistic regression analysis showed that GA below 25 weeks (OR=6.033, 95% CI: 1.393-26.133), lower birth weight (OR=0.997, 95% CI: 0.995-1.000), stage Ⅲ necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) (OR=15.907, 95% CI: 3.613-70.033), grade Ⅰ and Ⅱ intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) (OR=0.260, 95% CI: 0.117-0.575) and dependence on invasive mechanical ventilation (OR=3.630, 95% CI: 1.111-11.867) were predictive factors of mortality in extremely preterm infants. Conclusions: GA below 25 weeks, lower birth weight, stage Ⅲ NEC and dependence on invasive mechanical ventilation are risk factors of mortality in extremely preterm infants. But grade ⅠandⅡ IVH is protective factor.
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