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Updated: Feb 12, 2026

The Hypoxic Ischemic Encephalopathy Model of Perinatal Ischemia
Published on: November 19, 2008
Associations between birth at, or after, 41 weeks gestation and perinatal encephalopathy: a cohort study
David E Odd1,2,3, Christopher Yau1,3, Cathy Winter1,3
1School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Insights
Infants born after 41 weeks gestation have an increased risk of neonatal encephalopathy. This risk is higher for older mothers and increases weekly past the due date.
Area of Science:
- Perinatal Medicine
- Neonatal Health
- Obstetrics
Background:
- Preterm birth is a known risk factor for infant complications.
- Limited data exists on risks associated with post-term birth (after due date).
- Over 25% of infants are born more than one week post-term.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the risk of neonatal encephalopathy for post-term infants.
- To investigate if other risk factors modify the relationship between post-term birth and encephalopathy.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 4,036,346 Swedish births (1973-2012).
- Exposure defined as birth ≥7 days post-due date.
- Primary outcome: neonatal encephalopathy (seizures, brain injury).
Main Results:
- 28.4% of infants were born ≥1 week post-due date.
- Post-term infants (≥41 weeks) showed higher encephalopathy risk (OR 1.38).
- Risk increased ~20% per week post-due date, modified by maternal age.
Conclusions:
- Infants born at or after 41 weeks have higher encephalopathy risk.
- This association is more pronounced in older mothers.
- Findings can inform maternal decision-making regarding delivery timing.
Background:
Preterm birth causes long-term problems, even for infants born 1 or 2 weeks early. However, less is known about infants born after their due date and over a quarter of infants are born over 1 week late, and many still remain undelivered after 2 weeks. The aim of this work is to quantify the risks of infants developing encephalopathy when birth occurs after the due date, and if other proposed risk factors modify this relationship.
Methods:
The dataset contain information on 4 036 346 infants born in Sweden between 1973 and 2012. Exposure was defined as birth 7, or more, days after the infants' due date. The primary outcome was the development of neonatal encephalopathy (defined as seizures, encephalopathy or brain injury caused by asphyxia or with unspecified cause). Covariates were selected as presumed confounders a priori.
Results:
28.4% infants were born 1 or more weeks after their due date. An infant's risk of being born with encephalopathy was higher in the post 41 weeks group in the unadjusted (OR 1.40 (95% CI 1.32 to 1.49)) and final model (OR 1.38 (95% CI 1.29 to 1.47)), with the relative odds of encephalopathy increasing by an estimated 20% per week after the due date, and modified by maternal age (P=0.022).
Conclusions:
Singleton infants born at, or after, 41 weeks gestation have lower Apgar scores and higher risk of developing encephalopathy in the newborn period, and the association appeared more marked in older mothers. These data could be useful if provided to women as part of their decision-making.
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