Cutaneous Hemorrhage Types as Supportive Factors for Predicting Chronic Immune Thrombocytopenia in Children

Our objective was to assess risk factors for developing chronic immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) in children. The charts of all consecutive children diagnosed with ITP between 2000 and 2015 at a single center were retrospectively reviewed, and clinical characteristics at initial presentation were analyzed. Sixty-two children were included in the study (mean age, 6.15 y); 44 (71%) were found to have acute ITP, and 18 (29%) developed chronic ITP (permanent or relapsing thrombocytopenia >12 mo). In a univariate analysis, cutaneous hemorrhages were observed significantly more in acute patients (90.9%) than in chronic patients (61.1%). Patients who had acute ITP were more likely to present with a combination of petechiae, purpura, and/or ecchymosis (75%) than patients with chronic disease (44.4%, P=0.010). In multivariate analysis, older age increased the risk (odds ratio=1.1; P<0.05) for chronic disease, and manifestations of combination skin hemorrhages (petechiae/purpura/ecchymosis) reduced the risk (odds ratio=0.167; P<0.05). In conclusion, the most important risk factor for chronic disease is older age. Skin hemorrhage types were found to be a supportive factor for the prediction process: the combination of petechia/purpura/ecchymosis was associated with a lower risk for developing chronic disease compared with petechiae alone. Future studies should assess the prognostic value of skin hemorrhage types that are a simple way to predict the course of ITP in children.