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Low Variance Couplings for Stochastic Models of Intracellular Processes with Time-Dependent Rate Functions
David F Anderson1, Chaojie Yuan2
1Department of Mathematics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, USA. anderson@math.wisc.edu.
New coupling strategies for biochemical processes reduce simulation variance. Stacked coupling offers low variance for sensitivity analysis and faster estimations using multilevel Monte Carlo methods.
Area of Science:
- Biochemical processes modeling
- Computational stochastic methods
Background:
- Stochastic models are crucial for biochemical processes.
- Time-dependent parameters complicate simulations.
- Efficient numerical methods are needed.
Purpose of the Study:
- Introduce novel coupling strategies for stochastic biochemical processes.
- Present the 'stacked coupling' method.
- Demonstrate its effectiveness in reducing simulation variance.
Main Methods:
- Development of coupling strategies for time-dependent parameters.
- Introduction and application of stacked coupling.
- Numerical computation of parametric sensitivities.
- Estimation of expectations using multilevel Monte Carlo.
Main Results:
- Stacked coupling significantly reduces variance in generated paths.
- Demonstrated utility in numerical computation of parametric sensitivities.
- Enabled fast estimation of expectations via multilevel Monte Carlo methods.
Conclusions:
- Stacked coupling is an effective strategy for stochastic biochemical models.
- The method enhances efficiency in sensitivity analysis and expectation estimation.
- Provides essential estimators for these computations.
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