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Updated: Feb 11, 2026

Predicting Amputation using Local Circulating Mononuclear Progenitor Cells in Angioplasty-treated Patients with Critical Limb Ischemia
Published on: September 22, 2020
Population-based study of mortality and major amputation following lower limb revascularization
K Heikkila1,2, I M Loftus3, D C Mitchell4
1Department of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
The 5-year risk of major lower limb amputation after peripheral artery disease (PAD) revascularization is lower than previously thought. Patients needing open procedures or with tissue loss face the highest amputation risk.
Area of Science:
- Vascular Surgery
- Public Health
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Peripheral artery disease (PAD) affects lower limb circulation.
- Revascularization aims to restore blood flow but carries risks.
- Accurate risk estimation for amputation and death is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the risks of major lower limb amputation and death after PAD revascularization.
- To utilize competing risks analysis for more precise outcome assessment.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of routinely collected Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data in England (2005-2015).
- Inclusion of patients undergoing endovascular or open lower limb revascularization for PAD.
- Application of Cox proportional hazards and Fine-Gray competing risks regression models.
Main Results:
- Over 164,000 revascularizations were analyzed; most patients were male, median age 71.
- 5-year amputation risk varied: 4.2% (endovascular, claudication) to 25.3% (open, tissue loss).
- 5-year death risk ranged from 24.5% to 39.8%; competing risks methods yielded lower estimates.
Conclusions:
- The 5-year risk of major amputation following PAD revascularization is lower than previously estimated.
- Patients with tissue loss and those undergoing open revascularization have the highest risk of limb loss.
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