Very long-term outcome of schizophrenia

The principal aim is to review recent data concerning the very long-term outcome of schizophrenia and schizophrenia spectrum disorders. We examine factors that influence outcome, including therapeutic interventions.

PubMed and Scopus databases were searched for papers published between 2008 and 2017 reporting on prospective studies of schizophrenia or schizophrenia spectrum with a follow-up period ≥5 years with adequate outcome information. Additional publications were found in reference lists and authors' reference libraries.

The average proportion of patients with symptomatic remission at follow-up ranged between 16.4% in never-treated patients to 37.5% in patients who were systematically treated with antipsychotics. Good outcomes at follow-up were observed in schizophrenia and schizophrenia spectrum patients on low doses of antipsychotics and in patients with no pharmacological treatment at that time. Early detection and intensive treatment of the first episode as well as the availability of continued psychosocial treatment and support over subsequent years appeared associated with better outcomes.

The long-term outcome of schizophrenia is highly variable, depending on access to mental healthcare, early detection of psychosis and pharmacological treatment. Recent data support the effectiveness of low-dose antipsychotic treatment for long-term maintenance in some patients. A proportion of first-episode schizophrenia patients, perhaps 20%, do not need long-term maintenance antipsychotic treatment. That proportion may be higher in schizophrenia spectrum patients. The reasons why these patients do not need the long-term treatment are not well understood. Methods to predict the membership in this subgroup are not yet good enough for clinical use in individual patients.