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Updated: Feb 11, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
BNP predicts mortality of cardiovascular disease in patients with end-stage renal disease treated
Cleto Álvarez-Aguilar1, Esmirna Arroyo-Ramírez, Anel Gómez-García
1Hospital General Regional No. 1, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Morelia, Michoacán de Ocampo, México Correo electrónico: calvareza@yahoo.com.mx
Insights
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality is significantly higher in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. Type-B natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels effectively predict CVD death risk in these individuals, aiding in risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
Context:
- Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) face a substantially elevated risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, estimated to be 20 times greater than the general population.
- Cardiovascular complications are a leading cause of death in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD).
- Natriuretic peptides, including type-B natriuretic peptide (BNP), are being investigated for their potential role in assessing cardiovascular risk.
Purpose:
- To investigate the prognostic value of type-B natriuretic peptide (BNP) as a marker for cardiovascular (CV) mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD).
Summary:
- A study involving 53 ESRD patients on peritoneal dialysis, without baseline heart failure, assessed the predictive capability of BNP for CVD mortality.
- Survival probabilities were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests based on BNP levels, with Cox proportional hazards analysis used for adjusted hazard ratios.
- Results indicated that BNP is a strong predictor of CVD mortality in ESRD patients, with higher BNP levels correlating with increased mortality risk.
Impact:
- Serum BNP measurement can serve as a valuable tool for stratifying cardiovascular risk in ESRD patients.
- These findings suggest that BNP levels can inform treatment adjustments to mitigate CVD mortality in this high-risk population.
Background:
Mortality for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is higher. In the end-stage renal disease (ESRD) the mortality is 20 times greater in comparison with general population. Natriuretic peptides, particularly type-B natriuretic peptide (BNP) have been studied as potential markers of risk of cardiovascular (CV) mortality. The aim of this paper is to determine whether BNP acts as a prognostic marker for CV mortality in patients with ESRD.
Methods:
We studied 53 patients with ESRD prevalent in peritoneal dialysis without clinical evidence of heart failure at baseline was studied. The impact of variables was performed with linear regression model. The probability of survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meir analysis and the difference between survivals between groups with log-rank test according the levels of BNP. Adjusted hazard ratios were calculated with Cox proportional hazards analysis.
Results:
BNP strongly predicts CVD mortality. The Cox regression model showed that BNP is a predictor of death from CVD. Patients with high levels of BNP were at increased risk of death. Several pathophysiological mechanisms not well defined are involved.
Conclusions:
BNP predicts CVD mortality in patients with ESRD. Serum measurement of this peptide can be useful for risk stratification in these patients and adjust treatment.
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