Long-term prognostic value of coronary computed tomography angiography in chest pain patients

Mårten Sandstedt1,2, Jakob De Geer1,2, Lilian Henriksson1,2

  • 11 Center for Medical Image Science and Visualization (CMIV), Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.

Insights

Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) effectively predicts long-term cardiac events. Even non-obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) significantly increases major adverse cardiac events (MACE) risk.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Radiology
  • Preventive Medicine

Background:

  • Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is increasingly utilized for diagnosing coronary artery disease (CAD).
  • Long-term prognostic data following CCTA remain limited, necessitating further research.
  • Understanding the long-term outcomes associated with varying degrees of CAD detected by CCTA is crucial for patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the prognostic capability of CCTA in individuals with suspected CAD.
  • To determine the long-term risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) based on CCTA findings.
  • To evaluate the independent predictive value of different CAD severities on future cardiac events.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 1205 patients undergoing CCTA for chest pain was analyzed.
  • Patients were categorized into three groups: normal coronary arteries, non-obstructive CAD, and obstructive CAD.
  • The primary endpoint was MACE, encompassing cardiac death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, and late revascularization, with a median follow-up of 3.1 years (7.5 years total).

Main Results:

  • Over 7.5 years, MACE occurred in 1.0% of patients with normal arteries, 4.6% with non-obstructive CAD, and 20.7% with obstructive CAD.
  • Significant differences in MACE rates were observed between normal and non-obstructive CAD (P=0.023) and normal and obstructive CAD (P<0.001).
  • Multivariable analysis confirmed non-obstructive CAD (HR 3.22, P=0.041) and obstructive CAD (HR 25.18, P<0.001) as independent predictors of MACE.

Conclusions:

  • Patients with normal coronary arteries exhibit an excellent long-term prognosis.
  • The risk of MACE escalates with the presence and severity of coronary artery disease (non-obstructive and obstructive).
  • Both non-obstructive and obstructive CAD identified by CCTA are independently associated with an increased risk of future ischemic events.
Abstract

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