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Acceptability of the Predicting Abusive Head Trauma (PredAHT) clinical prediction tool: A qualitative study with
Laura E Cowley1, Sabine Maguire1, Daniel M Farewell1
1Division of Population Medicine, School of Medicine, Cardiff University, Wales, United Kingdom.
Insights
The Predicting Abusive Head Trauma (PredAHT) tool may boost child protection professionals' confidence in identifying abusive head trauma (AHT). However, consistent training is needed for uniform interpretation and court application.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Forensic Medicine
- Social Work
Background:
- Abusive Head Trauma (AHT) is a serious concern in child protection.
- The Predicting Abusive Head Trauma (PredAHT) tool uses clinical features to estimate AHT probability.
- Child protection professionals require validated tools to aid decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the acceptability and utility of the PredAHT tool among diverse child protection professionals.
- To explore professionals' preferred methods for presenting AHT probability data.
- To understand how different professional groups interpret AHT risk.
Main Methods:
- Qualitative semi-structured interviews with 56 UK-based child protection professionals.
- Thematic analysis of transcribed interviews, with 38% double-coded for reliability.
- Exploration of participants' evaluations, preferred probability presentation, and interpretation of AHT risk.
Main Results:
- Clinicians, social workers, and police found PredAHT beneficial for objective decision support and confidence.
- Legal practitioners and pathologists saw value in prompting multidisciplinary investigations but questioned court utility.
- Concerns included potential over-reliance on low scores; precise percentages were preferred over general risk terms.
Conclusions:
- PredAHT has potential to enhance professional confidence in investigating suspected AHT.
- Multi-agency training is crucial for consistent interpretation and risk threshold definition.
- The tool's value in legal settings may be limited without standardized interpretation and acceptance.
Abstract:
The validated Predicting Abusive Head Trauma (PredAHT) tool estimates the probability of abusive head trauma (AHT) based on combinations of six clinical features: head/neck bruising; apnea; seizures; rib/long-bone fractures; retinal hemorrhages. We aimed to determine the acceptability of PredAHT to child protection professionals. We conducted qualitative semi-structured interviews with 56 participants: clinicians (25), child protection social workers (10), legal practitioners (9, including 4 judges), police officers (8), and pathologists (4), purposively sampled across southwest United Kingdom. Interviews were recorded, transcribed and imported into NVivo for thematic analysis (38% double-coded). We explored participants' evaluations of PredAHT, their opinions about the optimal way to present the calculated probabilities, and their interpretation of probabilities in the context of suspected AHT. Clinicians, child protection social workers and police thought PredAHT would be beneficial as an objective adjunct to their professional judgment, to give them greater confidence in their decisions. Lawyers and pathologists appreciated its value for prompting multidisciplinary investigations, but were uncertain of its usefulness in court. Perceived disadvantages included: possible over-reliance and false reassurance from a low score. Interpretations regarding which percentages equate to 'low', 'medium' or 'high' likelihood of AHT varied; participants preferred a precise % probability over these general terms. Participants would use PredAHT with provisos: if they received multi-agency training to define accepted risk thresholds for consistent interpretation; with knowledge of its development; if it was accepted by colleagues. PredAHT may therefore increase professionals' confidence in their decision-making when investigating suspected AHT, but may be of less value in court.
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