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Updated: Feb 10, 2026

Lumped-Parameter and Finite Element Modeling of Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction
Published on: February 13, 2021
Effect of carvedilol vs metoprolol succinate on mortality in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction
Tarek Ajam1, Samer Ajam2, Srikant Devaraj3
1Saint Louis University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO.
Insights
Carvedilol improved survival in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients compared to metoprolol succinate. This suggests carvedilol may be a superior beta blocker choice for HFrEF management.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Pharmacology
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Beta blocker therapy is standard for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
- The comparative survival benefits of carvedilol versus metoprolol succinate in HFrEF are not well-established.
- Current guidelines recommend beta blockers, but drug-specific efficacy requires further elucidation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the survival benefits of carvedilol against metoprolol succinate in patients with HFrEF.
- To analyze mortality risk associated with these two common beta blockers.
- To investigate subgroup differences in treatment efficacy.
Main Methods:
- Utilized VA databases to identify 114,745 HFrEF patients (2007-2015).
- Employed propensity score matching with replacement for robust comparison of carvedilol and metoprolol succinate cohorts.
- Conducted subgroup analyses for sex, age, therapy duration, and diabetes status.
Main Results:
- Propensity score matching yielded 43,941 pairs for analysis.
- Metoprolol succinate was associated with a significantly higher adjusted hazard ratio for mortality (1.069) compared to carvedilol (P < .001).
- Six-year survival probability was higher with carvedilol (55.6%) versus metoprolol succinate (49.2%) (P < .001), consistent across subgroups.
Conclusions:
- Carvedilol demonstrated improved survival outcomes in HFrEF patients compared to metoprolol succinate.
- These findings support carvedilol as a potentially more effective beta blocker for HFrEF.
- Further research is warranted to confirm optimal beta blocker selection in HFrEF.
Background:
Beta blocker therapy is indicated in all patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) as per current guidelines. The relative benefit of carvedilol to metoprolol succinate remains unknown. This study aimed to compare survival benefit of carvedilol to metoprolol succinate.
Methods:
The VA's databases were queried to identify 114,745 patients diagnosed with HFrEF from 2007 to 2015 who were prescribed carvedilol and metoprolol succinate. The study estimated the survival probability and hazard ratio by comparing the carvedilol and metoprolol patients using propensity score matching with replacement techniques on observed covariates. Sub-group analyses were performed separately for men, women, elderly, duration of therapy of more than 3 months, and diabetic patients.
Results:
A total of 43,941 metoprolol patients were matched with as many carvedilol patients. The adjusted hazard ratio of mortality for metoprolol succinate compared to carvedilol was 1.069 (95% CI: 1.046-1.092, P value: < .001). At six years, the survival probability was higher in the carvedilol group compared to the metoprolol succinate group (55.6% vs 49.2%, P value < .001). The sub-group analyses show that the results hold true separately for male, over or under 65 years old, therapy duration more than three months and non-diabetic patients.
Conclusion:
Patients with HFrEF taking carvedilol had improved survival as compared to metoprolol succinate. The data supports the need for furthering testing to determine optimal choice of beta blockers in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.
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