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Updated: Dec 20, 2025

Estimating Bilateral Atrial Function by Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: July 20, 2022
Measures of left atrial function predict incident atrial fibrillation in STEMI patients treated with primary
Daniel Modin1, Flemming Javier Olsen1, Sune Pedersen1
1Department of Cardiology, Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Insights
Left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) and left atrial expansion index (LAi) predict new-onset atrial fibrillation after heart attack. These measures offer better risk prediction than maximal left atrial volume alone.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Echocardiography
- Arrhythmia Research
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common complication post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI).
- Maximal left atrial (LA) volume is currently the sole echocardiographic metric used for AF risk assessment after AMI.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic value of left atrial functional measures, specifically left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) and left atrial expansion index (LAi), for predicting incident AF in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) survivors.
- To compare the predictive capabilities of LAEF and LAi against maximal LA volume in the post-STEMI population.
Main Methods:
- Prospective enrollment of 373 STEMI patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI).
- Echocardiographic assessment of LA maximal volume, LA minimal volume, LAEF, and LAi using the area-length method, performed a median of 2 days post-pPCI.
- Median follow-up of 5.6 years to ascertain incident AF, with 100% follow-up achieved.
Main Results:
- Incident AF developed in 6% of patients (24/373) over the follow-up period.
- Multivariable Cox regression and competing risk analysis demonstrated that LAEF and LAi were independent predictors of incident AF.
- Maximal LA volume did not emerge as an independent predictor of AF after multivariable adjustment.
Conclusions:
- Left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) and left atrial expansion index (LAi) independently predict incident AF in the post-STEMI setting.
- LAEF and LAi provide incremental prognostic information beyond established risk scores like CHARGE-AF and CHA2DS2-VASc for AF prediction.
- Maximal LA volume lacks independent predictive value for incident AF in this cohort.
Rationale:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Maximal left atrial (LA) volume is the only echocardiographic atrial parameter employed clinically to assess risk of AF development.
Objective:
This study sought to determine the prognostic value of left atrial functional measures such as left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) and left atrial expansion index (LAi) in predicting incident AF in the post-STEMI setting.
Methods And Results:
STEMI patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) at Gentofte Hospital, Denmark were prospectively enrolled from September 2006 to December 2008 and had an echocardiogram performed a median 2 days (interquartile-range: 1-3 days) following pPCI. LA maximal volume, LA minimal volume, LAEF and LAi were measured from echocardiograms of 373 patients using the area-length method. End point was incident AF. Median follow-up time was 5.6 years (interquartile-range: 5.0-6.1 years), 24 patients (6%) developed incident AF, and follow-up was 100%. In multivariable Cox regression, LAEF and LAi but not maximal LA volume remained independent predictors of AF. Results were similar in competing risk analysis treating all-cause mortality as a competing risk. LAEF and LAi, but not maximal LA volume, added incremental prognostic information in predicting incident AF when added to the CHARGE-AF risk score and the CHA2DS2-VASc score.
Conclusion:
LAEF and LAi independently predicted incident AF following STEMI and added incremental prognostic information in addition to established predictors of AF. Maximal LA volume was not an independent predictor of incident AF after multivariable adjustment.
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