Related Experiment Video
Updated: Feb 10, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
Strategies for the prediction of late preeclampsia
Raquel Mula1, Eva Meler1, Gerard Albaiges1
1a Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproduction , Salut de la Dona Dexeus, Hospital Universitari Quiron Dexeus , Barcelona , Spain.
Objectives: To evaluate different strategies for the prediction of late preeclampsia. Methods: A retrospective study was undertaken. A predictive model including maternal parameters (maternal age, maternal BMI, maternal history of preeclampsia or intrauterine growth restriction (PE/IUGR) or maternal chronic disease, and maternal arterial pressure) and mean pulsatility index (PI) of uterine Doppler was created. It was evaluated as an independent model in each trimester, considering 11-13.6 weeks, 20-22.6 weeks and 32-33.6 weeks consequently, and as an integrated model. Results: In the group of late preeclampsia, patients were more obese and had higher incidence of chronic hypertension. Uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA PI) and mean blood pressure were increased in all three trimesters. When evaluating all three models independently, third trimester model performed better than the other two with a sensitivity of 79% and specificity of 82%. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was 0.86. The integration of all three determinations did not improve third trimester's model. Conclusion: Prediction of late preeclampsia at third trimester seems to be possible if maternal characteristics, blood pressure and UtA Doppler are included.
Objectives: To evaluate different strategies for the prediction of late preeclampsia. Methods: A retrospective study was undertaken. A predictive model including maternal parameters (maternal age, maternal BMI, maternal history of preeclampsia or intrauterine growth restriction (PE/IUGR) or maternal chronic disease, and maternal arterial pressure) and mean pulsatility index (PI) of uterine Doppler was created. It was evaluated as an independent model in each trimester, considering 11-13.6 weeks, 20-22.6 weeks and 32-33.6 weeks consequently, and as an integrated model. Results: In the group of late preeclampsia, patients were more obese and had higher incidence of chronic hypertension. Uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA PI) and mean blood pressure were increased in all three trimesters. When evaluating all three models independently, third trimester model performed better than the other two with a sensitivity of 79% and specificity of 82%. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was 0.86. The integration of all three determinations did not improve third trimester's model. Conclusion: Prediction of late preeclampsia at third trimester seems to be possible if maternal characteristics, blood pressure and UtA Doppler are included.
Related Concept Videos
Predicting Molecular Geometry
Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predicted Value
Sensitivity is the...
End Point Prediction: Gran Plot
For potentiometric titration, the Gran plot is created by plotting...
Predicting Reaction Outcomes
Persuasion Strategies

