Economic challenges and possible policy actions to advance stratified medicine

Mark R Trusheim1, Ernst R Berndt2

  • 1Massachusetts Institute of Technology Sloan School of Management, Cambridge, MA, USA. trusheim@MIT.EDU.

Insights

Developing targeted oncology medicines faces economic hurdles due to shrinking patient populations. Policy solutions are needed to ensure the sustainability of stratified medicine investment and innovation.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Health Economics
  • Pharmaceutical Development

Background:

  • Scientific advances are creating smaller, targeted patient populations for cancer therapies.
  • This trend presents significant economic challenges for oncology stratified medicine developers.
  • Preliminary evidence suggests a potential retreat of developers and investors from this sector.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To model the economic challenges in developing stratified medicines for small patient populations.
  • To evaluate policy interventions aimed at enhancing economic incentives for stratified medicine development.
  • To assess the economic sustainability of private sector investment in niche oncology markets.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a simple economic model for stratified medicine.
  • Analysis of policy options beyond reimbursement adjustments.
  • Examination of empirical evidence on developer and investor behavior.

Main Results:

  • Economic sustainability is threatened without significant payer flexibility in pricing and oncology spending.
  • Decreasing development time and costs offer the most direct economic improvements for developers.
  • Policies like extended exclusivity or advance market commitments may have limited impact.

Conclusions:

  • Private sector investment in stratified oncology medicine may be unsustainable without supportive policies.
  • Ensuring the translation of scientific advances into new medicines requires addressing economic viability.
  • Policy interventions should focus on reducing development costs and timelines for stratified medicines.

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