Spatial Analysis of Rice Blast in China at Three Different Scales

In this study, spatial analyses were conducted at three different scales to better understand the epidemiology of rice blast, a major rice disease caused by Magnaporthe oryzae. At the regional scale, across the major rice production regions in China, rice blast incidence was monitored on 101 dates at 193 stations from 10 June to 10 September during 2009 to 2014, and surveyed in 143 fields in September 2016; at the county scale, three surveys were done covering one to five counties in 2015 to 2016; and, at the field scale, blast was evaluated in six fields in 2015 to 2016. Spatial cluster and hot spot analyses were conducted in the geographic information system on the geographical pattern of the disease at regional scale, and geostatistical analysis was performed at all three scales. Cluster and hot spot analyses revealed that high-disease areas were clustered in mountainous areas in China. Geostatistical analyses detected spatial dependence of blast incidence with influence ranges of 399 to 1,080 km at regional scale and 5 to 10 m at field scale but not at county scale. The spatial patterns at different scales might be determined by inherent properties of rice blast and environmental driving forces, and findings from this study provide helpful information to sampling and management of rice blast.