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A new weighted injury severity scoring system: Better predictive power for pediatric trauma mortality
Junxin Shi1, Jiabin Shen, Sarah Caupp
1From the Center for Pediatric Trauma Research (J.S., J.S., S.C., A.W., B.K., K.K.W., H.X.), Center for Injury Research and Policy (J.S., J.S., S.C., A.W., K.K.W., H.X.), The Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital; Department of Emergency Medicine (K.E.N.), Nationwide Children's Hospital; Department of Pediatric Surgery, Nationwide Children's Hospital (B.K.); The Ohio State University College of Public Health, Division of Biostatistics (B.L.); and Department of Pediatrics, The Ohio State University College of Medicine (H.X.), Columbus, Ohio.
Insights
A new weighted Injury Severity Score (wISS) improves mortality prediction in pediatric blunt trauma patients compared to the traditional Injury Severity Score (ISS). This enhanced pediatric trauma scoring system offers better accuracy for outcome research.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Trauma Care
- Injury Severity Scoring
- Outcome Research
Background:
- The traditional Injury Severity Score (ISS) lacks pediatric specificity and does not account for varying risks across different body regions.
- Accurate injury severity measurement is crucial for evaluating pediatric trauma care and guiding research.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a weighted Injury Severity Score (wISS) for pediatric blunt trauma patients.
- To enhance predictive power for mortality compared to the traditional ISS.
Main Methods:
- Weights were generated for Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) components based on mortality associations.
- The wISS was developed using the National Trauma Data Bank and validated with the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS).
- Pediatric blunt trauma patients (<16 years) were analyzed, with mortality as the primary outcome.
Main Results:
- The wISS demonstrated superior discrimination, with higher areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (0.88 vs. 0.86 for ISS 1-74).
- wISS showed improved specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and concordance at similar sensitivity levels.
- The wISS exhibited better calibration and discrimination in validation datasets compared to the ISS.
Conclusions:
- The weighted Injury Severity Score (wISS) offers significantly improved mortality prediction in pediatric blunt trauma.
- The wISS is particularly effective for critically injured children, outperforming the traditional ISS.
Background:
An accurate injury severity measurement is essential for the evaluation of pediatric trauma care and outcome research. The traditional Injury Severity Score (ISS) does not consider the differential risks of the Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) from different body regions nor is it pediatric specific. The objective of this study was to develop a weighted ISS (wISS) system for pediatric blunt trauma patients with better predictive power than ISS.
Methods:
Based on the association between mortality and AIS from each of the six ISS body regions, we generated different weights for the component AIS scores used in the calculation of ISS. The weights and wISS were generated using the National Trauma Data Bank. The Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS) was used to validate our main results. Pediatric blunt trauma patients younger than 16 years were included, and mortality was the outcome. Discrimination (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, concordance) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic) were compared between the wISS and ISS.
Results:
The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves from the wISS and ISS are 0.88 versus 0.86 in ISS of 1 to 74 and 0.77 versus 0.64 in ISS of 25 to 74 (p < 0.0001). The wISS showed higher specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and concordance when they were compared at similar levels of sensitivity. The wISS had better calibration (smaller Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic) than the ISS (11.6 vs. 19.7 for ISS = 1-74 and 10.9 vs. 12.6 for ISS = 25-74). The wISS showed even better discrimination with the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample.
Conclusion:
By weighting the AIS from different body regions, the wISS had significantly better predictive power for mortality than the ISS, especially in critically injured children.
Level Of Evidence And Study Type:
Prognostic/epidemiological, level IV.
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