Geographical CO₂ sensitivity of phytoplankton correlates with ocean buffer capacity

Accumulation of anthropogenic CO₂ is significantly altering ocean chemistry. A range of biological impacts resulting from this oceanic CO₂ accumulation are emerging, however, the mechanisms responsible for observed differential susceptibility between organisms and across environmental settings remain obscure. A primary consequence of increased oceanic CO₂ uptake is a decrease in the carbonate system buffer capacity, which characterizes the system's chemical resilience to changes in CO₂ , generating the potential for enhanced variability in pCO₂ and the concentration of carbonate [ $$ ], bicarbonate [ $$ ], and protons [H⁺ ] in the future ocean. We conducted a meta-analysis of 17 shipboard manipulation experiments performed across three distinct geographical regions that encompassed a wide range of environmental conditions from European temperate seas to Arctic and Southern oceans. These data demonstrated a correlation between the magnitude of natural phytoplankton community biological responses to short-term CO₂ changes and variability in the local buffer capacity across ocean basin scales. Specifically, short-term suppression of small phytoplankton (<10 μm) net growth rates were consistently observed under enhanced pCO₂ within experiments performed in regions with higher ambient buffer capacity. The results further highlight the relevance of phytoplankton cell size for the impacts of enhanced pCO₂ in both the modern and future ocean. Specifically, cell size-related acclimation and adaptation to regional environmental variability, as characterized by buffer capacity, likely influences interactions between primary producers and carbonate chemistry over a range of spatio-temporal scales.