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Flynn effect and its reversal are both environmentally caused
Bernt Bratsberg1, Ole Rogeberg2
1Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research, 0349 Oslo, Norway.
Summary
Cognitive abilities, known as the Flynn effect, increased throughout the 20th century. This study found that family-based factors fully explain the Flynn effect
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Cognitive Science
- Behavioral Genetics
Background:
- The Flynn effect describes the observed rise in population intelligence quotients (IQ) throughout the 20th century.
- Recent decades show a slowdown or reversal of the Flynn effect in numerous countries, prompting research into its causes.
- Distinguishing between proposed explanations requires understanding factors that operate within families versus those that vary between them.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the causal factors behind the Flynn effect, its recent reversal, and its decline.
- To differentiate between explanations by examining within-family variations in cognitive ability scores.
Main Methods:
- Utilized administrative register data and cognitive ability scores from Norwegian military conscription records.
- Analyzed data from birth cohorts spanning three decades (1962-1991).
- Employed within-family analyses to control for shared genetic and environmental factors among siblings.
Main Results:
- The study successfully replicated the Flynn effect, its turning point, and subsequent decline using within-family variation.
- Observed changes in cognitive abilities were fully explained by factors that differ between siblings.
- No evidence supported hypotheses suggesting genes or between-family environmental factors as primary drivers of the decline.
Conclusions:
- The Flynn effect and its recent reversal are driven by factors that vary within families.
- The findings challenge prominent hypotheses that attribute the trend to genetic or broad environmental changes affecting all siblings equally.
- Future research should focus on intrafamilial factors to understand trends in population intelligence.
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