Childhood Respiratory Risk Factor Profiles and Middle-Age Lung Function: A Prospective Cohort Study from the First to

Dinh S Bui1, Haydn E Walters1, John A Burgess1

  • 11 Allergy and Lung Health Unit, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

Insights

Childhood respiratory risk factors, like frequent asthma and allergies, significantly impact adult lung health and COPD risk. Targeting adult asthma and smoking can mitigate these long-term effects.

Area of Science:

  • Respiratory Medicine
  • Epidemiology
  • Longitudinal Studies

Background:

  • Childhood respiratory risk factors often coexist, influencing long-term lung health.
  • Understanding specific risk factor patterns is crucial for predicting future lung function.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify childhood respiratory risk factor profiles.
  • To determine their influence on lung function and COPD in middle age.
  • To explore potential mediating and modifying pathways.

Main Methods:

  • Latent class analysis of 11 childhood risk factors in 8,352 participants (age 7).
  • Investigation of associations with lung function and COPD at age 53.
  • Analysis of mediation by childhood lung function/adult asthma and interaction with smoking.

Main Results:

  • Six risk profiles identified; profile 6 (frequent asthma, bronchitis, allergy) showed strongest association with reduced lung function (FEV1, FEV1/FVC) and increased COPD risk.
  • Profile 6's effect on COPD was mediated by adult asthma and reduced childhood lung function.
  • Synergistic adverse effects observed for smokers with profiles 2 (parental smoking) and 6.

Conclusions:

  • Childhood respiratory risk profiles predict middle-age lung function and COPD.
  • Children with frequent asthma/allergies are most vulnerable, especially if they smoke as adults.
  • Interventions targeting adult asthma and smoking may reduce long-term lung disease risk.
Abstract

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