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Published on: September 20, 2020
Prognostic factors in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma following hepatic resection
Narongsak Rungsakulkij1, Wikran Suragul1, Somkit Mingphruedhi1
1Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, 270 Praram VI Road, Ratchathewi, Bangkok, 10400 Thailand.
Background:
To analyze prognostic factors following hepatic resection in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma.
Methods:
We retrospectively analyzed 217 patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent hepatic resection at our hospital between January 2006 and December 2015. Disease-free survival and overall survival rates were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. The association between recurrence and survival and various clinicopathological factors, including serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, platelet count, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, antiplatelet therapy, antiviral therapy, hepatitis C virus infection, and tumor-related characteristics, were assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis.
Results:
The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 91, 84, and 79%, respectively, and the recurrence-free survival rates were 72, 51, and 44%, respectively. High post-operative AFP level (hazard ratio [HR] 1.112, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.21, P = 0.007), multiple tumors (HR 1.991, 95% CI: 1.11-3.56, P = 0.021), and no antiviral treatment (HR 1.823, 95% CI: 1.07-3.09, P = 0.026) were independent risk factors for recurrence. High post-operative AFP level (HR 1.222, 95% CI: 1.09-1.36, P < 0.001), multiple tumors (HR 2.715, 95% CI: 1.05-7.02, P = 0.039), and recurrence (HR 12.824, 95% CI: 1.68-97.86, P = 0.014) were independent risk factors for mortality. No other factors analyzed were associated with outcomes in this patient cohort.
Conclusions:
High post-operative serum alpha-fetoprotein level and multiple tumors, but not inflammatory factors, were risk factors for poor prognosis in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients after resection.
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