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Published on: February 15, 2013
Outpatient antibiotic use in Dutch infants after 10-valent pneumococcal vaccine introduction: a time-series analysis
Alexandre C Fortanier1, Roderick P Venekamp1, Rebecca K Stellato1
1Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Insights
Switching from the 7-valent to the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in Dutch infants modestly reduced outpatient antibiotic use. Geographical vaccination coverage did not significantly modify this association.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- The introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) has significantly impacted childhood infectious diseases.
- Understanding the effects of vaccine composition changes on antibiotic use is crucial for antimicrobial stewardship.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the impact of switching from a 7-valent PCV (PCV7) to a 10-valent PCV (PCV10) on antibiotic consumption in Dutch infants.
- To determine if geographical vaccination coverage influences the association between PCV switch and antibiotic use.
Main Methods:
- A population-based cohort study utilizing anonymized antibiotic purchase data from 255,154 Dutch infants (aged <2 years) between 2006 and 2013.
- Time-series analysis was employed to estimate changes in monthly antibiotic use before and after PCV10 introduction, accounting for seasonality and autocorrelation.
- The study investigated potential interactions between vaccination coverage levels and the observed changes in antibiotic use.
Main Results:
- The introduction of PCV10 was associated with a 1.6% overall reduction in infant antibiotic use (Purchase Rate Ratio: 0.98).
- A significant shift in the trend of antibiotic use was observed post-PCV10 introduction, with a decrease in prescriptions compared to the PCV7 period.
- No significant evidence was found that PCV vaccination coverage modified the association, though the study may have lacked power to detect such effects.
Conclusions:
- The transition from PCV7 to PCV10 in the Netherlands was linked to a modest decrease in outpatient antibiotic consumption among infants.
- Further research with enhanced statistical power may be needed to fully elucidate the role of vaccination coverage in this association.
Objective:
This population-based cohort study assesses the impact of switching from a 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) to a 10-valent PCV on outpatient antibiotic use in Dutch infants, and whether geographical vaccination coverage modifies this association.
Setting And Participants:
We extracted 2006-2013 anonymised antibiotic purchase data of 255 154 Dutch infants aged below 2 years from Achmea Health, a health insurance fund covering 28% of the national population.
Design And Main Outcome Measure:
Changes in monthly antibiotic use from 2006-2011 (PCV7) to 2011-2013 (PCV10) were estimated using time-series analysis accounting for seasonality and autocorrelation. Interaction terms for vaccination coverage (categorised into seven groups) and period were added to the model to test whether this association was vaccination coverage-dependent.
Results:
275 337 antibiotic courses were used by 119 078 infants (461 352 person-years). PCV10 introduction was associated with a modest 1.6% overall reduction in antibiotic use (purchase rate ratio: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.98 to 0.99). Our model showed a significant difference in time trend in antibiotic use after PCV10 introduction (p=0.0084) with an increase in prescriptions in the PCV7 period (slope: 0.0023/month, 95% CI: -0.0001 to 0.0047) versus a decline in the PCV10 period (slope: -0.0089/month, 95% CI: -0.0150 to -0.0029). There was no evidence that PCV vaccination coverage affected this association, but since the largest rate ratios were observed in municipalities with the lowest vaccine coverage and had very wide accompanying CIs, our study might have insufficient power to detect such an association.
Conclusions:
Switching from PCV7 to PCV10 was associated with a modest decline in outpatient antibiotic use in Dutch infants.
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