KL-6 But Not CCL-18 Is a Predictor of Early Progression in Systemic Sclerosis-related Interstitial Lung Disease

The 2 pneumoproteins, KL-6 and CCL-18, are promising biomarkers in systemic sclerosis (SSc)-related interstitial lung disease (ILD). Our goal was to determine their predictive significance for forced vital capacity % (FVC%) decline within the first year of followup in patients with early SSc-ILD.

Early SSc patients with imaging-verified ILD enrolled in the Genetics versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcome Study (GENISOS) cohort were included. Annualized rate of change in FVC% based on the baseline and followup measurement within 12-18 months was used as the surrogate outcomes for ILD progression.

Eighty-two early SSc-ILD patients with mean disease duration of 2.3 years were investigated. FVC% change ranged from -23% to 38%. Baseline KL-6 levels were higher in patients than healthy controls (p < 0.0001). Higher KL-6 levels were predictive of faster FVC% decline at the 1-year followup (r = -0.23, p = 0.037). Upon categorizing KL-6 using a previously published cutoff of 1273 U/ml, its predictive significance remained in the univariable model (b = -0.07, p = 0.01), indicating that patients with positive KL-6 had on average 7% more decline in annualized percent change of FVC%. Moreover, KL-6 remained an independent predictor after adjustment for sex, disease type, anti-Scl-70, and immunosuppressive treatment status in multivariable models. Although CCL-18 was higher in patients than controls (p < 0.001), its levels did not predict FVC decline rate (p = 0.458).

KL-6 but not CCL-18 is predictive of early SSc-ILD progression. KL-6 is a promising pneumoprotein that can contribute to SSc-ILD clinical trial enrichment.