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Published on: August 7, 2017
Directed acyclic graphs: a tool for causal studies in paediatrics
Thomas C Williams1,2, Cathrine C Bach3,4, Niels B Matthiesen3,4
1Epidemiology Section, European Society for Paediatric Research, Edinburgh, UK.
Insights
Causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) visually represent complex relationships in pediatric research. Understanding DAGs helps researchers and clinicians identify causation, confounding, and bias in studies.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Clinical Research
- Epidemiology
- Causal Inference
Background:
- Paediatric research frequently aims to establish causal relationships between exposures and outcomes.
- Key concepts like causation, confounding, and bias are crucial for valid study interpretation.
- Existing methods for visualizing these relationships can be complex for a broad audience.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) as a tool for paediatric researchers and clinicians.
- To demonstrate how DAGs can clarify concepts of exposure, outcome, causation, confounding, and bias.
- To illustrate the application of DAGs in understanding and addressing threats to study validity.
Main Methods:
- Presentation of causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) tailored for a paediatric audience.
- Use of clinical examples such as screen time and childhood obesity, paracetamol use and wheeze, and breastfeeding and cognitive outcomes.
- Explanation of how DAGs aid in identifying confounding and bias in research.
Main Results:
- DAGs provide a visual framework for understanding causal relationships in paediatric studies.
- DAGs effectively highlight potential sources of confounding and bias.
- The graphical approach aids in evaluating the validity of statistical adjustments and study designs, including randomized controlled trials.
Conclusions:
- Familiarity with DAGs enhances the ability of researchers to design robust paediatric studies.
- DAGs empower clinicians to critically interpret research findings and identify potential biases.
- Adoption of DAGs can improve the overall quality and interpretability of paediatric clinical research.
Abstract:
Many paediatric clinical research studies, whether observational or interventional, have as an eventual aim the identification or quantification of causal relationships. One might ask: does screen time influence childhood obesity? Could overuse of paracetamol in infancy cause wheeze? How does breastfeeding affect later cognitive outcomes? In this review, we present causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to a paediatric audience. DAGs are a graphical tool which provide a way to visually represent and better understand the key concepts of exposure, outcome, causation, confounding, and bias. We use clinical examples, including those outlined above, framed in the language of DAGs, to demonstrate their potential applications. We show how DAGs can be most useful in identifying confounding and sources of bias, demonstrating inappropriate statistical adjustments for presumed biases, and understanding threats to validity in randomised controlled trials. We believe that a familiarity with DAGs, and the concepts underlying them, will be of benefit both to the researchers planning studies, and practising clinicians interpreting them.
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