A prospective study of inflammatory biomarker levels and risk of early menopause

Early menopause, the cessation of ovarian function before age 45, has consequences for fertility and cardiovascular health. Evidence from studies of women with autoimmune conditions and genetic studies supports a role for inflammation in early menopause, but the association of inflammatory markers and risk has not been directly evaluated.

We assessed the relation of the soluble fraction of tumor necrosis factor alpha receptor 2 (sTNFR2), C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 (IL6) levels with incident early menopause among Nurses' Health Study II participants who provided a premenopausal blood sample in 1996 to 1999. Cases (n = 328) were women reporting natural menopause between blood collection and age 45.Controls (n = 492) included (1) 328 women with menopause after age 47, matched 1:1 with cases on age at blood collection and other factors; and (2) 164 additional women with menopause after age 45.

In multivariable models comparing cases and n = 492 controls, we observed a significant association of sTNFR2 levels and risk of early menopause (P = 0.002). Compared with women with the lowest sTNFR2 levels, odds ratios (95% CIs) for quartiles 2 to 4 were 0.60 (0.38-0.95), 0.93 (0.61-1.43), and 1.40 (0.93-2.11). Results further adjusting for antimüllerian hormone levels were similar in magnitude, as were results from sensitivity analyses of matched cases and controls (n = 328 pairs), nonsmokers, and leaner women. C-reactive protein and IL6 levels were unrelated to risk.

The observation of lower risk of early menopause among women with moderate sTNFR2 levels compared with women with lower and higher levels warrants further prospective study.