Evaluation of the global action plan on antimicrobial resistance in Japan during its first eighteen months
Yasushi Ohkusa1, Tamie Sugawara1, Hirokazu Kawanohara2
1Infectious Diseases Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases.
Abstract:
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has garnered the most attention among public health concerns worldwide. Japan formulated a national action plan for AMR in April 2016. The plan seeks to reduce the amount of antimicrobials used in 2020 to two-thirds of the use recorded in 2013. Prescription surveillance (PS) is being used to monitor trends in the amount of antimicrobials used. PS estimates the number of patients prescribed an antimicrobial each day. The number of patients who were prescribed an antimicrobial under the action plan was analyzed by including dummy variables with other control variables. Data from April 1, 2011 to 30 September 30, 2017 were analyzed. When the number of patients with an infectious disease (1 of 13 specified diseases) served as a dummy variable, estimates indicated that the coefficient of that dummy variable was not significant. If the number of patients with an infectious disease (1 of 13 specified diseases) was excluded as an explanatory variable, then the estimated coefficient was significant. The global action plan in Japan might not reduce the amount of antimicrobials used. The current results indicated that the number of patients who were prescribed an antimicrobial did not decrease significantly after initiation of the action plan. This finding does not exclude the possibility that the average amount of antimicrobials used per patient has decreased.
Insights
Japan's action plan to reduce antimicrobial use did not significantly decrease the number of patients prescribed these drugs. Further analysis is needed to determine if average antimicrobial amounts per patient have changed.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Infectious Diseases
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a major global public health concern.
- Japan implemented a national action plan in April 2016 to combat AMR.
- The plan aimed to reduce antimicrobial usage by one-third by 2020 compared to 2013 levels.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effectiveness of Japan's national action plan in reducing antimicrobial consumption.
- To analyze trends in antimicrobial prescription rates using prescription surveillance (PS).
Main Methods:
- Utilized prescription surveillance data from April 2011 to September 2017.
- Employed regression analysis, including dummy variables for infectious disease patient numbers and other control variables.
- Assessed the significance of changes in antimicrobial prescription numbers post-action plan implementation.
Main Results:
- The number of patients prescribed antimicrobials did not show a statistically significant decrease after the action plan's initiation.
- Excluding infectious disease patient numbers as an explanatory variable resulted in a significant estimated coefficient, suggesting their influence.
- Including infectious disease patient numbers as a dummy variable did not yield a significant coefficient.
Conclusions:
- Japan's national action plan may not have effectively reduced the overall number of patients receiving antimicrobials.
- The study highlights the need for continued monitoring and potentially revised strategies to curb antimicrobial use.
- Further research is recommended to investigate potential reductions in the average amount of antimicrobials prescribed per patient.
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