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Published on: July 14, 2023
Higher event rate in patients with high-risk Duke Treadmill Score despite normal exercise-gated myocardial perfusion
Maseeh Uz Zaman1,2, Nosheen Fatima1,2, Areeba Zaman3
1Department of Radiology, The Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan.
Insights
Patients with normal myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) and low-risk Duke Treadmill Scores (DTS) have low risk of nonfatal myocardial infarction (NFMI). High-risk DTS indicates elevated NFMI risk, even with normal MPI.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) assesses heart function.
- Duke Treadmill Score (DTS) stratifies cardiac risk.
- Predictive value of DTS in normal MPI is unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the negative predictive value of DTS in patients with normal MPI.
- To evaluate the association between DTS risk categories and adverse cardiac events.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 583 patients with normal exercise MPI.
- Patients stratified into low, intermediate, and high-risk DTS groups.
- Follow-up for 2 years for fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction (NFMI).
Main Results:
- High-risk DTS patients were older, with higher BMI and male preponderance.
- No significant differences in risk factors or ejection fraction across groups.
- High-risk DTS was associated with significantly higher NFMI events (P=0.0001).
- Low-to-intermediate risk DTS showed significantly low NFMI rates.
Conclusions:
- Low-to-intermediate risk DTS predicts low NFMI in normal MPI patients.
- High-risk DTS identifies elevated NFMI risk despite normal MPI.
- Further studies needed to validate DTS predictive value for ST deviations in normal MPI.
Abstract:
This prospective study was carried out to find the negative predictive value of various Duke Treadmill Scores (DTSs) in patients with normal myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). This study was conducted from August 2012 to July 2015, and 603 patients having normal exercise MPIs were included. Patients were followed for 2 years for fatal myocardial infarction (FMI) and nonfatal myocardial infarction (NFMI). Follow-up was not available in 23 patients, leaving a cohort of 583 participants. DTS was low risk (≥5) in 286, intermediate risk (between 4 and - 10) in 211, and high risk (≤-11) in 86 patients. Patients with high- and intermediate-risk DTS were significantly elder than low-risk DTS cohort. Patients with high-risk DTS had significantly higher body mass index with male preponderance compared to other groups. No significant difference was found among three groups regarding modifiable or nonmodifiable risk factors and left ventricular ejection fraction. On follow-up, single FMI was observed in high-risk DTS group (log-rank test value = 5.779, P = 0.056). Five NFMI events were observed in high-risk DTS (94.2% survival; log-rank test value = 19.398, P = 0.0001; significant) as compared to two events each in low- and intermediate-risk DTS (nonsignificant). We conclude that patients with normal exercise MPI and low-to-intermediate risk DTS have significantly low NFMI. High-risk DTS despite normal exercise MPI had high NFMI. Further, validation studies to find the predictive value of symptomatic and asymptomatic ST deviation resulting in high-risk DTS in patients with normal exercise MPI are warranted.
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