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Mendelian randomization with a binary exposure variable: interpretation and presentation of causal estimates.

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  • 1MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Robinson Way, Cambridge, CB2 0SR, UK. sb452@medschl.cam.ac.uk.

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Mendelian randomization (MR) can infer causal effects of exposures on outcomes. However, binary exposures complicate MR, requiring focus on the underlying continuous risk factor for valid causal inference.

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Genetic Epidemiology
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Mendelian randomization (MR) is a powerful tool for causal inference in observational studies.
  • Genetic variants serve as instrumental variables for modifiable exposures.
  • Binary exposures, such as hypertension, pose challenges to standard MR assumptions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To provide methods for causal estimation with binary exposures in Mendelian randomization.
  • To address complications arising from dichotomizing continuous risk factors.
  • To clarify the interpretation of causal estimates in the context of binary exposures.

Main Methods:

  • Utilizing genetic variants as instrumental variables for underlying continuous risk factors.
  • Addressing potential violation of the exclusion restriction assumption with binary exposures.
  • Applying parametric assumptions for causal estimation with binary exposures.

Main Results:

  • Causal inferences for binary exposures are valid when instrumental variable assumptions hold for the underlying continuous risk factor.
  • Causal estimates for binary exposures assume a stepwise function at the point of dichotomization.
  • The interpretation of causal estimates depends on assumptions like monotonicity and homogeneity, which may not be widely applicable.

Conclusions:

  • Mendelian randomization investigations with dichotomized binary exposures should be conceptualized in terms of the underlying continuous variable.
  • Standard MR assumptions can be violated with binary exposures, necessitating careful methodological consideration.
  • The methods provided offer a framework for causal estimation with binary exposures, acknowledging inherent limitations.