Long-term risk of stroke and bleeding post-atrial fibrillation ablation

Jacqueline Joza1, Michelle Samuel2, Cynthia A Jackevicius3,4,5

  • 1Division of Cardiology, McGill University Health Centre and McGill Research Institute, Montreal, Canada.

Insights

Catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) did not show a significant reduction in stroke or major bleeding risk when accounting for oral anticoagulation (OAC) use. Continued OAC therapy post-CA is advised based on individual risk profiles.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Interventions
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Catheter ablation (CA) is a standard treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF).
  • Real-world, long-term outcomes of CA often lack consistent analysis of oral anticoagulation (OAC) use.
  • Understanding OAC patterns post-CA is crucial for evaluating treatment effectiveness.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze OAC usage patterns following CA in AF patients.
  • To compare the OAC-adjusted risks of stroke and major bleeding in AF patients who underwent CA versus those who did not.
  • To provide real-world data on the long-term efficacy and safety of CA in relation to OAC management.

Main Methods:

  • A population-based cohort study in Canada (1999-2014) included AF patients.
  • Propensity score matching was used to compare outcomes between CA and non-CA groups.
  • Time-dependent OAC use was factored into the analysis of stroke and major bleeding incidence.

Main Results:

  • 6,391 patients underwent CA, compared to 482,977 controls; 1,240 CA patients were matched with 2,427 controls.
  • OAC persistence post-CA was 78% at 1 year, decreasing to 61% by 5 years.
  • No significant difference in stroke (aHR=0.88) or major bleeding (aHR=0.88) risk was observed between groups when adjusted for OAC.

Conclusions:

  • CA did not significantly reduce stroke or major bleeding risk when OAC use was considered over time.
  • Discontinuing OAC post-CA is not supported by current evidence; continued anticoagulation based on risk is recommended.
  • Further randomized trials are needed to confirm CA's stroke reduction benefits and the safety of OAC discontinuation.
Abstract

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