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Updated: Feb 7, 2026

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Variations on the balloon analogue risk task: A censored regression analysis
Michael E Young1, Anthony W McCoy2
1Department of Psychological Sciences, Kansas State University, 492 Bluemont Hall, Manhattan, KS, 66506-5302, USA. michaelyoung@ksu.edu.
This study reexamined the Balloon Analogue Risk Task (BART) using variations to understand risk aversion. Findings suggest early responses are not due to effort avoidance but potentially risk aversion influenced by immediate feedback.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Neuroscience
- Decision Making
Background:
- The Balloon Analogue Risk Task (BART) is a common measure of risk-taking behavior.
- Previous research has not fully elucidated the factors influencing response strategies in the BART.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the underlying mechanisms of risk-taking in the BART.
- To evaluate how task variations affect decision-making processes.
Main Methods:
- Utilized three modified versions of the BART: no pumping required, controlled trial duration, and delayed pop feedback.
- Employed Bayesian analysis with censored regression to analyze performance data.
Main Results:
- Early optimal responding in the BART is not linked to effort avoidance.
- Immediate feedback on balloon popping significantly increases risk aversion, though this effect diminishes over time.
Conclusions:
- The study provides nuanced insights into risk-taking behavior within the BART paradigm.
- Results have implications for cognitive neuroscience models of decision-making and risk assessment.
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