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Validation of the VitalPAC Early Warning Score at the Intermediate Care Unit
Joost Dj Plate1, Linda M Peelen2, Luke Ph Leenen3
1Division of Surgery, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht 3584 CX, The Netherlands. j.d.j.plate@umcutrecht.nl.
Aim:
To assess the performance and clinical relevance of the Early Warning Scoring (EWS) system at the Intermediate Care Unit (IMCU).
Methods:
This cohort study used all the VitalPAC EWS (ViEWS) scores collected during each nursing shift from 2014 through 2016 at the mixed surgical IMCU of an academic teaching hospital. Clinical deterioration defined as transfer to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) or mortality within 24 h was the primary outcome of interest.
Results:
A total of 9113 aggregated ViEWS scores were obtained from 2113 admissions. The incidence of the combined outcome was 272 (3.0%). The area under the curve of the ViEWS was 0.72 (CI: 0.69-0.75). Using a threshold value of six, the sensitivity was 68% with a positive predictive value of 5% and a number needed to trigger (e.g., false alarms) of 19%.
Conclusion:
The ViEWS at the IMCU has a discriminative performance that is considerably lower than at the hospital ward. The number of false alarms is high, which may result in alarm fatigue. Therefore, use of the ViEWS in its current form at the IMCU should be reconsidered.
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