Ninety-Day Readmissions of Bundled Valve Patients: Implications for Healthcare Policy

Medicare's Bundle Payment for Care Improvement (BPCI) Model 2 groups reimbursement for valve surgery into 90-day episodes of care, which include operative costs, inpatient stay, physician fees, postacute care, and readmissions up to 90 days postprocedure. We analyzed our BPCI patients' 90-day outcomes to understand the late financial risks and implications of the bundle payment system for valve patients. All BPCI valve patients from October 2013 (start of risk-sharing phase) to December 2015 were included. Readmissions were categorized as early (≤30 days) or late (31-90 days). Data were collected from institutional databases as well as Medicare claims. Analysis included 376 BPCI valve patients: 202 open and 174 transcatheter aortic valves (TAVR). TAVR patients were older (83.6 vs 73.8 years; P = 0.001) and had higher Society of Thoracic Surgery predicted risk (7.1% vs 2.8%; P = 0.001). Overall, 18.6% of patients (70/376) had one-or-more 90-day readmission, and total claim was on average 51% greater for these patients. Overall readmissions were more common among TAVR patients (22.4% (39/174) vs 15.3% (31/202), P = 0.052) as was late readmission. TAVR patients had significantly higher late readmission claims, and early readmission was predictive of late readmission for TAVR patients only (P = 0.04). Bundled claims for a 90-day episode of care are significantly increased in patients with readmissions. TAVR patients represent a high-risk group for late readmission, possibly a reflection of their chronic disease processes. Being able to identify patients at highest risk for 90-day readmission and the associated claims will be valuable as we enter into risk-bearing episodes of care agreements with Medicare.