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Assessing minimal medical statistical literacy using the Quick Risk Test: a prospective observational study in
Mirjam Annina Jenny1, Niklas Keller2, Gerd Gigerenzer1
1Harding Center for Risk Literacy, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.
Objectives:
To assess minimal medical statistical literacy in medical students and senior educators using the 10-item Quick Risk Test; to assess whether deficits in statistical literacy are stable or can be reduced by training.
Design:
Prospective observational study on the students, observational study on the university lecturers.
Setting:
Charité University Medicine medical curriculum for students and a continuing medical education (CME) course at a German University for senior educators.
Participants:
169 students taking part in compulsory final-year curricular training in medical statistical literacy (63% female, median age 25 years). Sixteen professors of medicine and other senior educators attending a CME course on medical statistical literacy (44% female, age range=30-65 years).
Interventions:
Students completed a 90 min training session in medical statistical literacy. No intervention for the senior educators.
Outcome Measures:
Primary outcome measure was the number of correct answers out of four multiple-choice alternatives per item on the Quick Risk Test.
Results:
Final-year students answered on average half (median=50%) of the questions correctly while senior educators answered three-quarters correctly (median=75%). For comparison, chance performance is 25%. A 90 min training session for students increased the median percentage correct from 50% to 90%. 82% of participants improved their performance.
Conclusions:
Medical students and educators do not master all basic concepts in medical statistics. This can be quickly assessed with the Quick Risk Test. The fact that a 90 min training session on medical statistical literacy improves students' understanding from 50% to 90% indicates that the problem is not a hard-wired inability to understand statistical concepts. This gap in physicians' education has long-lasting effects; even senior medical educators could answer only 75% of the questions correctly on average. Hence, medical students and professionals should receive enhanced training in how to interpret risk-related medical statistics.
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