Adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa using 2001-2009 census data: does estimation method matter?
Clifford Odimegwu1, Vesper H Chisumpa1, Oluwaseyi Dolapo Somefun1
1Demography and Population Studies, School of Public Health and Social Sciences Faculty of Humanities, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2000 South Africa.
Genus
|August 28, 2018
Summary
Estimating adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is complex due to data issues. Different estimation methods yield varying results, highlighting the importance of choosing the right approach for accurate public health insights.
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Adult mortality is a critical indicator for development and public health.
- Accurate estimation of adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is challenging due to data quality issues.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate adult mortality levels in 10 SSA countries.
- To compare different indirect and direct estimation methods for adult mortality.
Main Methods:
- Utilized orphanhood, widowhood, and siblinghood methods (indirect) and direct siblinghood method.
- Analyzed 2001-2009 census and survey data from 10 sub-Saharan African countries.
Main Results:
- Orphanhood data indicated declining male adult mortality in South Africa and West Africa, but increasing rates in East Africa.
- Widowhood estimates were lowest, showing higher female than male adult mortality.
- Significant discrepancies were found between direct and indirect siblinghood method estimates.
Conclusions:
- The choice of estimation method significantly impacts adult mortality levels in SSA.
- Methodological differences complicate the accurate assessment of adult mortality trends in the region.
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