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Updated: Feb 6, 2026

An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
A multicenter clinical trial validating the performance of HE4, CA125, risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm and risk
Maria Lycke1, Björg Kristjansdottir1, Karin Sundfeldt1
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Sweden.
Objective:
To validate, in a multicenter clinical trial, the performance of biomarkers and algorithms for differential diagnosis in a population of women diagnosed with an unknown ovarian cyst or pelvic tumor.
Methods:
Six hospitals in Western Sweden consecutively enrolled 638 women from September 2013 to February 2016. Serum, transvaginal ultrasound data, and basic patient characteristics were collected preoperatively. Biomarker levels, risk of malignancy algorithm (ROMA), and risk of malignancy index (RMI) were calculated and compared with the final pathology report.
Results:
Our sample of 638 patients had 445 benign, 31 borderline, and 162 malignant tumors recorded, and the overall incidence of epithelial ovarian cancer was 21%. In postmenopausal women, RMI (>200), ROMA (≥29.9), CA125 (>35 U/mL), and HE4 (>140 pmol/L) showed sensitivity at 89%, 91%, 92%, and 72%, respectively, and specificity at 80%, 77%, 80%, and 92%. In premenopausal women, sensitivity of RMI, ROMA (≥11.6), CA125, and HE4 (>70 pmol/L) was 87%, 87%, 96%, and 83%, respectively, and specificity was 90%, 81%, 60%, 91%. Diagnostic accuracy (ROC AUC) of RMI and ROMA in postmenopausal women was 0.85 and 0.84, and in premenopausal women, 0.90 and 0.81.
Conclusion:
Our results suggest that CA125 is superior to HE4 as a biomarker to identify women with ovarian cancer. HE4 more correctly identifies benign lesions, which may help in differential diagnoses to guide the level of care and decrease overtreatment. This study confirms prior results from single-center studies and suggests the implementation of HE4 measurement in daily practice.
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