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External Validation of the DAPT Score in a Nationwide Population
Peter Ueda1, Tomas Jernberg2, Stefan James3
1Clinical Epidemiology Division, Department of Medicine, Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Insights
The DAPT score, used to guide dual antiplatelet therapy duration, showed poor performance in predicting ischemic and bleeding risks in a real-world Swedish population. Its decision rules may not be generalizable to diverse patient groups.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Pharmacology
- Health Services Research
Background:
- The Dual Antiplatelet Therapy (DAPT) score is designed to personalize treatment duration after coronary stenting.
- It aims to balance the risk of ischemic events against bleeding complications.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the real-world effectiveness of the DAPT score in a nationwide Swedish population.
- To assess the score's ability to predict ischemic events and bleeding risk.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of Swedish register data from 2006-2014, including 41,101 patients.
- Patients received 12 months of DAPT, with outcomes assessed from months 12 to 30 post-stenting.
- Comparison of myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), and bleeding risk based on DAPT score categories.
Main Results:
- The DAPT score demonstrated limited discrimination for ischemic events (0.58 for MI/stent thrombosis, 0.54 for MACCE) and bleeding risk (0.49).
- Elevated ischemic risk was observed at DAPT scores ≥3 (MI/stent thrombosis) and ≥4 (MACCE).
- Fatal or major bleeding risk was low across score groups and lower than in the original DAPT study.
Conclusions:
- The DAPT score's predictive performance for ischemic and bleeding events is inadequate in a real-world setting.
- The score's decision-making framework for extended DAPT may not be applicable to general populations.
- Lower bleeding event rates in this population suggest potential overestimation of risk in the original DAPT study.
Background:
The dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) score guides decisions on DAPT duration after coronary stenting by simultaneously predicting ischemic and bleeding risk.
Objectives:
This study sought to assess the performance of the DAPT score in a nationwide real-world population.
Methods:
The study used register data in Sweden (2006 to 2014) and followed 41,101 patients who had undergone 12 months of event-free DAPT, from months 12 to 30 after stenting. Risk of myocardial infarction (MI) or stent thrombosis, major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) (MI, stroke, and all-cause death), and fatal or major bleeding were compared according to DAPT score.
Results:
The score had a discrimination of 0.58 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.56 to 0.60) for MI or stent thrombosis, 0.54 (95% CI: 0.53 to 0.55) for MACCE, and 0.49 (95% CI: 0.45 to 0.53) for fatal or major bleeding. Risk of MI or stent thrombosis was significantly increased at scores of ≥3 while MACCE risk followed a J-shaped pattern and increased at scores of ≥4. Absolute differences in fatal or major bleeding risk were small between scores. Event rates of ischemic and bleeding outcomes in patients with high (≥2) and low (<2) scores differed compared to the DAPT Study from which the score was derived; fatal or major bleeding rates were approximately one-half of those in the placebo arm of the DAPT Study.
Conclusions:
In a nationwide population, the DAPT score did not adequately discriminate ischemic and bleeding risk, the relationship between score and ischemic risk did not correspond to the suggested decision rule for extended DAPT, and risk of bleeding was lower compared with the DAPT Study. The score and its decision rule may not be generalizable to real-world populations.
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