Risk analysis of urban stormwater infrastructure systems using fuzzy spatial multi-criteria decision making

Design and performance of stormwater infrastructure systems in urban areas have direct implications in social, environmental and public health problems and are of utmost importance to urban authorities and managers. Risk analysis in urban stormwater systems has become a must because of the extensive consequences of flooding in urban areas and limited funding for the rehabilitation and renovation of stormwater systems. Complexity, multidimensionality, and inherent uncertainties of the urban stormwater systems require the risk analysis approach to be comprehensive and able to address different uncertainties and spatial aspects of the problem. The objective of this study is to provide a comprehensive framework for risk analysis in urban stormwater systems. Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), geographic information systems (GIS), and fuzzy sets theory are used to consider the diverse risk-affecting criteria, facilitate the analysis of spatial data and information and formulate the ambiguity and uncertainty of problem, respectively. The presented framework uses a Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) for determining the weights of risk-affecting criteria (i.e. Hydrological and Hydraulic, Traffic, Social, Economic, Environmental, Structural, and Green space) in the presence of multiple decision makers. The Autodesk Storm and Sanitary Analysis model is used for the Hydrological and Hydraulic simulations. FSAW and FTOPSIS methods are used to provide the final product of the framework, i.e., a risk map that presents a risk level for each channel in the network. The framework is applied to District 11 of the capital city of Iran, Tehran as a real case study. The resulted risk maps indicate a high or very high flooding risk for 17.07 to 41.95 km of the stormwater channels in the study area, covering about 10.5 to 26% of the total length of the channels. The presented framework was found to be a suitable risk analysis tool in urban stormwater systems.