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Epidemiologic features of Kawasaki disease distinguished by seasonal variation: an age-specific analysis
Yukie Ozeki1, Fumiya Yamada2, Akinobu Saito2
1Division of Infectious Disease and Epidemiology, Saitama Institute of Public Health, Saitama, Japan; Department of Public Health, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Insights
Kawasaki disease (KD) shows distinct seasonal patterns that vary by age. Infants under one year experience a sharp winter peak, while older children have different seasonal trends.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Kawasaki disease (KD) is a critical pediatric illness.
- Understanding its seasonal variations is key to identifying potential infectious agents.
- Age-specific patterns in KD occurrence are not fully understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the seasonal variation of Kawasaki disease (KD).
- To perform an age-specific analysis of KD incidence.
- To clarify the distribution of potential infectious agents linked to KD.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of nationwide Kawasaki disease (KD) data from Japan (2003-2014).
- Stratification of monthly patient numbers into specific age groups (infants, 1-year-olds, 2-4-year-olds).
- Application of a 12-month moving average to analyze disease onset factors.
Main Results:
- A pronounced winter peak in KD incidence was observed across all age groups, most notably in 1-year-olds.
- Distinct seasonal plateaus were identified: March-May for 2-4-year-olds and June-August for infants (0-11 months).
- Seasonal indices revealed age-dependent variations in KD occurrence patterns.
Conclusions:
- Age-specific analysis of Kawasaki disease (KD) reveals significant differences in its seasonal occurrence.
- These findings highlight distinct epidemiological patterns of KD across different pediatric age groups.
- Further research can explore age-related infectious triggers for Kawasaki disease.
Purpose:
The purpose of this study was to review the seasonal variation of Kawasaki disease (KD) by an age-specific analysis to clarify the distribution of infectious agents.
Methods:
Data obtained from nationwide surveys of KD in Japan, which targeted patients for 12 years (2003-2014), were analyzed. The monthly numbers of patients were classified into the following age groups: 0-11 months, 1 year, 2-3 years 5 months, and 3 years 6 months-4 years. Factors associated with disease onset were analyzed using a 12-month moving average method.
Results:
In winter, a sharp peak was observed in all age groups, but this was notably sharper in the 1-year age group. Plateaus in disease occurrence were observed in two periods: from March to May in the 2- to 4-year age group and from June to August in the 0- to 11-month age group. Seasonal index was analyzed into two factors that differed depending on the age group.
Conclusions:
The age-specific analysis of KD clearly identified age-related differences in the seasonal occurrence of this disease.
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