Validation and refinement of the catheterization RISk score for pediatrics (CRISP score): An analysis from the

Kevin D Hill1,2, Wei Du3,4, Gregory A Fleming1,2

  • 1Department of Pediatrics, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina.

Insights

The revised CRISP score (rCRISP) accurately predicts serious adverse events (SAEs) in pediatric catheterization. This pre-procedural risk model offers improved clinical utility for patient care.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Interventional Medicine
  • Pediatric Cardiology
  • Medical Risk Prediction Models

Background:

  • The original CRISP score estimates risk of serious adverse events (SAEs) in pediatric catheterization.
  • External validation and potential refinement of the CRISP score are needed to enhance its clinical utility.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To externally validate the existing CRISP score.
  • To determine if a revised CRISP score (rCRISP) with pre-procedural data improves clinical utility for pediatric catheterization risk assessment.

Main Methods:

  • A large dataset (n=29,830) of pediatric catheterization procedures was divided into development and validation sets.
  • The CRISP score was refitted, and a revised score (rCRISP) using only pre-procedural data was developed.
  • Model fit and risk prediction were compared using statistical criteria (AIC, BIC, N2LL, C-statistic, chi-square).

Main Results:

  • Both CRISP and rCRISP scores demonstrated good prediction of SAEs, with observed-to-predicted ratios between 0.71 and 1.18.
  • The rCRISP score, using entirely pre-procedural data, showed slightly less optimal model fit but comparable risk prediction to the original CRISP score.
  • SAE frequency increased significantly across risk categories, from 1.08% to 27.34%.

Conclusions:

  • The CRISP score is a reliable tool for predicting procedural risk in pediatric catheterization.
  • The revised rCRISP score, utilizing solely pre-procedural data, offers comparable risk prediction and enhanced clinical utility.
Abstract

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