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Published on: July 30, 2019
Power and sample size for dose-finding studies with survival endpoints under model uncertainty
Qiqi Deng1, Xiaofei Bai1, Dacheng Liu1
1Biostatistics and Data Science, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc., 900 Ridgebury Rd, Ridgefield, Connecticut 06811, U.S.A.
This study introduces new power and sample size formulas for dose-finding studies using multiple comparison procedures combined with modeling techniques (MCP-Mod) with survival endpoints. The derived formulas accurately estimate sample sizes for robust statistical analysis.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Clinical Trial Design
- Pharmacometrics
Background:
- Multiple comparison procedures combined with modeling techniques (MCP-Mod) is a robust statistical method for dose-finding studies.
- MCP-Mod requires covariance matrix for power and sample size calculations, which is challenging for survival endpoints.
Purpose of the Study:
- To derive analytic formulas for power and sample size calculations in MCP-Mod studies with survival endpoints.
- To provide accurate and practical tools for designing dose-finding clinical trials.
Main Methods:
- Derived an analytic form of the covariance matrix for log hazard ratio estimators based on the total number of events.
- Utilized the closed-form covariance matrix to develop power and sample size formulas for MCP-Mod with survival data.
Main Results:
- Developed novel power and sample size formulas for MCP-Mod using survival endpoints.
- Simulation studies confirmed the accuracy of the proposed formulas for practical application.
Conclusions:
- The derived formulas offer a practical solution for sample size determination in dose-finding studies with survival outcomes.
- This methodology enhances the efficiency and robustness of clinical trial design in pharmaceutical research.
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