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Published on: October 23, 2020
Survival rate, causes of death, and risk factors in systemic sclerosis: a large cohort study
Xue Li1, Yu-Quan Qian1, Na Liu1
1Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Peking University People's Hospital & Beijing Key Laboratory for Rheumatism Mechanism and Immune Diagnosis (BZ0135), 11 Xizhimen South Street, Beijing, China.
Insights
Systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients show a mildly increased mortality risk. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is the primary cause of death, with pericardial effusion and digital ischemia being independent risk factors for mortality.
Area of Science:
- Rheumatology
- Internal Medicine
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a complex autoimmune disease with significant morbidity and mortality.
- Understanding the clinical patterns, survival rates, and risk factors in diverse populations is crucial for improving patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the clinical characteristics, survival rates, causes of death, and prognostic factors in a large cohort of Chinese Han patients with SSc.
- To identify independent risk factors associated with mortality in this specific patient group.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 201 inpatients diagnosed with SSc between 2002 and 2014.
- Classification into diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc), limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc), and SSc-overlap syndrome.
- Statistical analysis including Chi-squared tests, Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazards modeling.
Main Results:
- Diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) was the most prevalent subtype (50.2%).
- Interstitial lung disease (ILD) was the most frequent organ involvement (74%), and the leading cause of death, often in combination with infection (50%).
- Overall 5- and 10-year survival rates were 98% and 95%, respectively. Pericardial effusion and digital ischemia were identified as independent predictors of mortality.
Conclusions:
- The mortality rate in SSc patients is slightly elevated compared to the general population.
- ILD is the most common systemic manifestation and the primary driver of mortality in SSc.
- Pericardial effusion and digital ischemia represent significant independent prognostic factors for death in SSc patients.
Abstract:
To investigate the clinical pattern, survival rate, causes of death and risk factors in a large cohort of Chinese Han patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). Inpatients treated from 2002 to 2014 were included in this study. Patients were classified into diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc), limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc), and SSc-overlap syndrome groups. Data were analyzed using Chi-squared tests, Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazards modeling. Among a total of 201 patients, dcSSc (50.2%) was the major subtype, followed by lcSSc (30.3%) and SSc-overlap (19.4%). Interstitial lung disease (ILD, 148/201, 74%) was the most frequent organ involvement. The overall survival rates were 98% and 95% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. The overall standard mortality ratio (SMR) was 2.22. The most common cause of death was ILD combined with infection (8/16, 50%), followed by kidney failure (2/16, 12.5%). On crude analysis, pulmonary hypertension, ILD, cardiac involvements, renal involvements, and digital ischemia were associated with poor prognosis. On multivariate analysis, pericardial effusion (p = 0.000) and digital ischemia (p = 0.016) were independent prognostic factors of death. The mortality rate of patients with SSc is mildly increased in comparison with the general population. ILD is the most common systemic involvement and the principal cause of death in SSc. Pericardial effusion and digital ischemia are independent factors associated with death.
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