Survival rate, causes of death, and risk factors in systemic sclerosis: a large cohort study

Xue Li1, Yu-Quan Qian1, Na Liu1

  • 1Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Peking University People's Hospital & Beijing Key Laboratory for Rheumatism Mechanism and Immune Diagnosis (BZ0135), 11 Xizhimen South Street, Beijing, China.

Clinical Rheumatology
|September 19, 2018
PubMed

Insights

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients show a mildly increased mortality risk. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is the primary cause of death, with pericardial effusion and digital ischemia being independent risk factors for mortality.

Area of Science:

  • Rheumatology
  • Internal Medicine
  • Clinical Research

Background:

  • Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a complex autoimmune disease with significant morbidity and mortality.
  • Understanding the clinical patterns, survival rates, and risk factors in diverse populations is crucial for improving patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the clinical characteristics, survival rates, causes of death, and prognostic factors in a large cohort of Chinese Han patients with SSc.
  • To identify independent risk factors associated with mortality in this specific patient group.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 201 inpatients diagnosed with SSc between 2002 and 2014.
  • Classification into diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc), limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc), and SSc-overlap syndrome.
  • Statistical analysis including Chi-squared tests, Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazards modeling.

Main Results:

  • Diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) was the most prevalent subtype (50.2%).
  • Interstitial lung disease (ILD) was the most frequent organ involvement (74%), and the leading cause of death, often in combination with infection (50%).
  • Overall 5- and 10-year survival rates were 98% and 95%, respectively. Pericardial effusion and digital ischemia were identified as independent predictors of mortality.

Conclusions:

  • The mortality rate in SSc patients is slightly elevated compared to the general population.
  • ILD is the most common systemic manifestation and the primary driver of mortality in SSc.
  • Pericardial effusion and digital ischemia represent significant independent prognostic factors for death in SSc patients.

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