Time dependent stability margin in multistable systems

We propose a novel technique to analyze multistable, non-linear dynamical systems. It enables one to characterize the evolution of a time-dependent stability margin along stable periodic orbits. By that, we are able to indicate the moments along the trajectory when the stability surplus is minimal, and even relatively small perturbation can lead to a tipping point. We explain the proposed approach using two paradigmatic dynamical systems, i.e., Rössler and Duffing oscillators. Then, the method is validated experimentally using the rig with a double pendulum excited parametrically. Both numerical and experimental results reveal significant fluctuations of sensitivity to perturbations along the considered periodic orbits. The proposed concept can be used in multiple applications including engineering, fluid dynamics, climate research, and photonics.