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Evidence-based Knowledge Synthesis and Hypothesis Validation: Navigating Biomedical Knowledge Bases via Explainable AI and Agentic Systems
Published on: June 13, 2025
Need for evidence-based early intervention programmes: a public health perspective
Sinan Guloksuz1,2, Jim van Os1,3,4
1Department of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
The current ultra-high risk (UHR) or clinical high risk (CHR) framework for psychosis transition has limited public health impact due to issues with prediction and intervention effectiveness. A broader, transdiagnostic approach to early psychopathology intervention may be more beneficial.
Area of Science:
- Psychiatry
- Public Health
- Clinical Psychology
Background:
- The current framework for identifying individuals at ultra-high risk (UHR) or clinical high risk (CHR) for psychosis transition is widely used.
- However, its effectiveness in generating measurable and economically feasible public health impacts is questioned.
Purpose of the Study:
- To critically evaluate the limitations of the UHR/CHR framework for psychosis transition.
- To explore alternative strategies for early intervention in psychopathology.
Main Methods:
- Review of existing literature and meta-analytical evidence on UHR/CHR predictive accuracy and intervention efficacy.
- Analysis of the determinants of psychosis transition rates.
- Discussion of the limitations of current assessment tools and sampling strategies.
Main Results:
- The 'transition' rate is primarily determined by risk-enrichment, not predictive accuracy of UHR/CHR tools.
- Prognostic accuracy of assessment tools is mediocre.
- Therapeutic interventions may prolong, not prevent, psychosis onset.
- No effective treatments are proven to prevent transition.
- The UHR/CHR target is precarious due to unpredictability and false positives.
- Only a small fraction of individuals developing psychosis benefit from UHR/CHR services.
- Limited cost-effectiveness data exists for these services.
Conclusions:
- The narrow focus of the UHR/CHR framework presents significant limitations for public health impact.
- A broader, transdiagnostic prevention strategy for early psychopathology is a more promising alternative.
- Further economic evaluations of extended, transdiagnostic early intervention programs are needed.
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