Infected Pancreatic Necrosis due to Multidrug-Resistant Organisms and Persistent Organ failure Predict Mortality in

Saransh Jain1, Soumya Jagannath Mahapatra1, Swatantra Gupta1

  • 1Department of Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India.

Abstract

Insights

Persistent organ failure and multidrug-resistant infections in infected pancreatic necrosis are key predictors of mortality in acute pancreatitis. Early sepsis control and antibiotic stewardship are crucial for improving patient outcomes.

Area of Science:

  • Gastroenterology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Critical Care Medicine

Background:

  • Acute pancreatitis (AP) outcomes are primarily determined by organ failure.
  • The role of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) as an independent mortality predictor in AP remains debated.
  • Advances in management may have altered mortality predictors over time.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify independent predictors of mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis.
  • To investigate the evolving landscape of mortality determinants in AP.

Main Methods:

  • An observational study included consecutive patients hospitalized with a first episode of AP between January 2015 and December 2016.
  • Patients with IPN were managed conservatively initially, with delayed, minimally invasive interventions if necessary.
  • In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome, with independent predictors identified using statistical analysis.

Main Results:

  • Of 209 AP patients, 81% had persistent organ failure (OF) and 52% developed IPN. Overall mortality was 22%.
  • Independent predictors of mortality were persistent OF (OR 19) and IPN caused by multidrug-resistant (MDR) organisms (OR 8.4).
  • IPN alone was not a significant predictor of mortality (OR 2).

Conclusions:

  • Persistent organ failure and MDR infection-related IPN are independent predictors of mortality in AP.
  • Urgent implementation of antibiotic stewardship programs and early sepsis control strategies are necessary to mitigate mortality.
  • These findings highlight the critical impact of MDR organisms in complicated AP cases.

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