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Updated: Feb 4, 2026

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Population and forest dynamics during the Central European Eneolithic (4500-2000 BC)
Jan Kolář1,2, Petr Kuneš1,3, Péter Szabó1
1Department of Vegetation Ecology, Institute of Botany of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Lidická 25/27, CZ-60200 Brno, Czech Republic.
Summary
Population dynamics in the European Neolithic reveal a significant decline in human activity between 4000 and 3000 BC. This shift coincided with climate changes and the adoption of new technologies, impacting land use patterns.
Area of Science:
- Archaeology
- Environmental Science
- Population Dynamics
Background:
- The European Neolithic experienced significant population fluctuations, often studied using radiocarbon dating.
- Previous research relied heavily on summed radiocarbon probability distributions to infer population trends.
Purpose of the Study:
- To reconstruct past population dynamics using a novel approach integrating multiple data sources.
- To understand long-term socio-environmental changes during the European Neolithic.
Main Methods:
- Developed a human activity model using Monte Carlo simulations based on archaeological evidence.
- Integrated findings with pollen-based vegetation models and climate models.
- Analyzed the correlation between human activity, environmental shifts, and technological advancements.
Main Results:
- Identified a period of lowest human activity between 4000 and 3000 BC.
- Observed a decline in visible human activities correlating with climatic changes.
- Noted an increase in secondary forest taxa, suggesting intensified land-use.
Conclusions:
- The decline in Neolithic human activity was linked to environmental changes and increased land-use intensity.
- Societal transformations, including technological innovations and social restructuring, characterized this period.
- The study provides a comprehensive model for understanding complex socio-environmental dynamics.
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