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Declining Incidence of Invasive Meningococcal Disease in South Africa: 2003-2016
Susan Meiring1,2, Cheryl Cohen2,3, Linda de Gouveia3
1Division of Public Health Surveillance and Response, National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD), a Division of the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), Johannesburg.
Background:
Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is endemic to South Africa, where vaccine use is negligible. We describe the epidemiology of IMD in South Africa.
Methods:
IMD cases were identified through a national, laboratory-based surveillance program, GERMS-SA, from 2003-2016. Clinical data on outcomes and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) statuses were available from 26 sentinel hospital sites. We conducted space-time analyses to detect clusters of serogroup-specific IMD cases.
Results:
Over 14 years, 5249 IMD cases were identified. The incidence was 0.97 cases per 100 000 persons in 2003, peaked at 1.4 cases per 100 000 persons in 2006, and declined to 0.23 cases per 100 000 persons in 2016. Serogroups were confirmed in 3917 (75%) cases: serogroup A was present in 4.7% of cases, B in 23.3%, C in 9.4%; W in 49.5%; Y in 12.3%, X in 0.3%; Z in 0.1% and 0.4% of cases were non-groupable. We identified 8 serogroup-specific, geo-temporal clusters of disease. Isolate susceptibility was 100% to ceftriaxone, 95% to penicillin, and 99.9% to ciprofloxacin. The in-hospital case-fatality rate was 17% (247/1479). Of those tested, 36% (337/947) of IMD cases were HIV-coinfected. The IMD incidence in HIV-infected persons was higher for all age categories, with an age-adjusted relative risk ratio (aRRR) of 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-2.8; P < .001) from 2012-2016. No patients reported previous meningococcal vaccine exposure. Patients with serogroup W were 3 times more likely to present with severe disease than those with serogroup B (aRRR 2.7, 95% CI 1.1-6.3); HIV coinfection was twice as common with W and Y diseases (aRRR W = 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-2.9; aRRR Y = 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.4).
Conclusions:
In the absence of significant vaccine use, IMD in South Africa decreased by 76% from 2003-2016. HIV was associated with an increased risk of IMD, especially for serogroup W and Y diseases.
Insights
Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) significantly decreased in South Africa between 2003-2016, despite minimal vaccine use. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection increased IMD risk, particularly for serogroups W and Y.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health Surveillance
Background:
- Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a significant public health concern in South Africa.
- Vaccine utilization for IMD is notably low in the region.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the epidemiology of IMD in South Africa from 2003 to 2016.
- To analyze trends, serogroup distribution, and risk factors associated with IMD.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the national laboratory-based surveillance program, GERMS-SA (2003-2016).
- Collected clinical data, including HIV status, from 26 sentinel hospital sites.
- Performed space-time analyses to identify disease clusters.
Main Results:
- Recorded 5249 IMD cases, with incidence declining from 0.97 to 0.23 cases per 100,000 population.
- Serogroup W was predominant (49.5%), followed by B (23.3%) and Y (12.3%).
- HIV coinfection was present in 36% of cases, with higher IMD risk (aRRR 2.5) and increased severity with serogroups W and Y.
Conclusions:
- IMD incidence in South Africa decreased by 76% from 2003-2016, independent of widespread vaccination.
- HIV infection is a significant risk factor for IMD, particularly for serogroups W and Y.
- The study highlights the impact of HIV on IMD epidemiology in South Africa.
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