An improved PADDY model including uptake by rice roots to predict pesticide behavior in paddy fields under nursery-box and submerged applications
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Updated: Feb 3, 2026

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Published on: September 6, 2018
Keiya Inao1, Takashi Iwafune1, Takeshi Horio1
1National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences Kannondai.
Abstract:
We developed an improved version of the PADDY model for predicting pesticide behavior in paddy fields, which includes pesticide uptake by rice roots. We applied the model to nursery-box and submerged pesticide applications. A paddy field was divided into root-zone and inter-plant areas, and paddy soil containing pesticides was vertically separated into three layers. Pesticide behavior was modeled with mass fractions of the pesticides in paddy water and the soil layers immediately after rice transplanting obtained from field experiments, and uptake by rice roots was described using the transpiration stream concentration factor. The improved model successfully simulated measured concentration changes in a paddy field, including rice plants, under nursery-box and submerged applications. The model evaluated the difference in the concentrations of nursery-box-applied pesticides between root-zone and inter-plant soil samples with several key parameters. Our study provides a useful solution for simulating the uptake of pesticides in soil by rice roots.
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Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.