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Can environment or allergy explain international variation in prevalence of wheeze in childhood?
Gudrun Weinmayr1, Andrea Jaensch2, Ann-Kathrin Ruelius2
1Institute of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry, Ulm University, Helmholtzstraße 22, 89081, Ulm, Germany. Gudrun.Weinmayr@uni-ulm.de.
Insights
Environmental factors, particularly those at the center level, significantly influence childhood asthma prevalence globally. Specific factors like bedding and maternal smoking explained a substantial portion of wheeze variation across different locations.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Allergy and Immunology
- Environmental Epidemiology
- Global Health
Background:
- Childhood asthma prevalence exhibits considerable international variation.
- The specific contribution of known risk factors to this global disparity remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how individual and ecological risk factors impact the variation in childhood wheeze prevalence across different global centers.
- To identify key environmental factors contributing to international differences in childhood asthma.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase Two.
- Employed multilevel logistic regression modeling on data from 8-12-year-old children across 30 international centers.
- Included parent-completed questionnaires on symptoms/risk factors and aeroallergen skin prick testing.
Main Results:
- Adjusting for individual risk factors minimally impacted or even increased center-level variation in wheeze prevalence.
- Simultaneous modeling of 11 influential environmental factors showed little overall change in center-level variation.
- A combination of 6 key factors (bedding, maternal smoking, heating, dampness) significantly reduced variance by 21%.
- Ecological (center-level) factors explained more variation than individual-level factors.
Conclusions:
- Individual-level environmental factors and aeroallergen sensitization do not substantially explain global variations in childhood wheeze prevalence.
- Ecological factors, including specific home environmental exposures, play a more significant role in the international variation of childhood asthma.
- Targeting specific environmental risk factors at a community level may be crucial for reducing global disparities in childhood asthma.
Abstract:
Asthma prevalence in children varies substantially around the world, but the contribution of known risk factors to this international variation is uncertain. The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase Two studied 8-12 year old children in 30 centres worldwide with parent-completed symptom and risk factor questionnaires and aeroallergen skin prick testing. We used multilevel logistic regression modelling to investigate the effect of adjustment for individual and ecological risk factors on the between-centre variation in prevalence of recent wheeze. Adjustment for single individual-level risk factors changed the centre-level variation from a reduction of up to 8.4% (and 8.5% for atopy) to an increase of up to 6.8%. Modelling the 11 most influential environmental factors among all children simultaneously, the centre-level variation changed little overall (2.4% increase). Modelling only factors that decreased the variance, the 6 most influential factors (synthetic and feather quilt, mother's smoking, heating stoves, dampness and foam pillows) in combination resulted in a 21% reduction in variance. Ecological (centre-level) risk factors generally explained higher proportions of the variation than did individual risk factors. Single environmental factors and aeroallergen sensitisation measured at the individual (child) level did not explain much of the between-centre variation in wheeze prevalence.
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