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Mutation and Selection in Bacteria: Modelling and Calibration.

C D Bayliss1, C Fallaize2, R Howitt2

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|November 16, 2018
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study models bacterial population dynamics using reversible mutation and selection. An efficient algorithm verifies mutation models, while Approximate Bayesian Computation estimates fitness parameters for selection-mutation models, using Campylobacter jejuni data.

Keywords:
Approximate Bayesian computationPhase variable genesPopulation geneticsStochastic modelling

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Area of Science:

  • Microbiology
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Bacterial populations evolve through mutation and selection.
  • Understanding these evolutionary mechanisms is crucial for microbiology and medicine.
  • Phase variable genes in Campylobacter jejuni are known to exhibit rapid evolution.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate computational models for bacterial evolution.
  • To propose an efficient algorithm for testing reversible mutation models against experimental data.
  • To estimate unobservable fitness parameters in selection-mutation models.

Main Methods:

  • Modeling the temporal evolution of clonal bacterial populations.
  • Developing an efficient algorithm to verify mutation models.
  • Utilizing Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) for parameter estimation in selection-mutation models.
  • Applying the algorithms to in vitro data of Campylobacter jejuni phase variable genes.

Main Results:

  • An efficient algorithm was developed to assess the validity of mutation models.
  • Approximate Bayesian Computation successfully estimated fitness parameters for the selection-mutation model.
  • The proposed algorithms were effectively demonstrated using experimental data.

Conclusions:

  • The developed models and algorithms provide a robust framework for studying bacterial evolution.
  • The methods allow for the quantitative analysis of mutation and selection in microbial populations.
  • This approach is applicable to understanding the evolution of specific genes, such as phase variable genes in Campylobacter jejuni.