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Updated: Feb 2, 2026

Acute Myocardial Infarction in Rats
Published on: February 16, 2011
Predictive Value of Prothrombin Time for All-cause Mortality in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients.
Insights
Prothrombin time (PT) is a significant predictor of 2-year mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Incorporating PT into risk models improves accuracy for identifying high-risk AMI patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Research
- Biomarkers
Background:
- Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) poses a significant threat due to coronary artery ischemia and anoxia.
- Current risk models for AMI patients require enhancement for improved prediction of mortality.
- Identifying reliable predictors is crucial for effective patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive capability of prothrombin time (PT) for all-cause mortality in patients with AMI.
- To develop and validate a comprehensive risk model for AMI mortality incorporating PT.
- To assess the independent prognostic value of PT in the context of other risk factors.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 2734 AMI patients from the MIMIC III clinical database with 2-year follow-up data.
- Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to identify significant predictors of mortality.
- Development of a comprehensive risk prediction model integrating PT and over 20 other covariates.
Main Results:
- Prothrombin time (PT) was identified as a significant independent risk factor for 2-year all-cause mortality in AMI patients (aHR=4.04, 95% CI: 2.83-5.75).
- The comprehensive risk model, including PT, demonstrated strong predictive accuracy with an AUC of 0.843.
- PT significantly improved the model's ability to predict mortality in AMI patients.
Conclusions:
- Prothrombin time (PT) is an independent predictor of 2-year mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI).
- The integration of PT into risk assessment models can enhance the identification of high-risk AMI patients.
- PT may serve as a valuable biomarker for stratifying mortality risk in AMI populations.
Abstract:
Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a serious cardiovascular disease caused by acute or persistent ischemic and anoxia of the coronary artery. A more practical and effective risk model is still remained to be established for AMI patients. This study aims to investigate the predictive value of prothrombin time (PT) in AMI patients. In this study, 2734 AMI patients available in the public MIMIC III clinical database were investigated, with 629 deaths occurring within 2-year follow-up. More than 20 risk factors including demographics, clinical disease history, laboratory test information, surgery history, and mediation information were analyzed as potential predictors for all-cause mortality in AMI patients. After adjustment for other covariates, PT was showed to be a significant risk factor for all-cause mortality in AMI patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.04; 95% confidence interval, 2.83 to 5.75) from Cox regression analysis. We also developed a comprehensive risk model for AMI mortality using multivariate Cox proportional hazards model based on the above 20 risk factors. Combined with PT, the model achieved a good accuracy with an AUC (area under ROC curve) of 0.843. Overall, PT is an independent predictor for 2-year mortality in AMI, and it might be useful in identifying AMI patients with a high risk for mortality.
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