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Addressing Climate Change as an Emerging Risk to Infrastructure Systems
Julie Shortridge1, Janey Smith Camp2
1Department of Biological Systems Engineering, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA.
Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
|November 20, 2018
Summary
Climate change poses severe risks to infrastructure, but uncertainty requires new risk analysis methods. Further research is needed to adapt infrastructure planning for climate resilience.
Area of Science:
- Environmental science
- Civil engineering
- Risk analysis
Background:
- Climate change impacts on infrastructure are severe yet uncertain.
- Traditional risk assessment methods are insufficient for emerging climate risks.
- Infrastructure planning requires robust climate adaptation strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- Outline challenges in assessing climate change risks to infrastructure.
- Summarize recent developments in climate risk analysis for infrastructure.
- Identify future research needs for climate-resilient infrastructure.
Main Methods:
- Review of emerging research in climate projections and decision frameworks.
- Analysis of limitations in current risk assessment for climate change.
- Synthesis of new approaches for infrastructure adaptation.
Main Results:
- Probabilistic climate projections, climate services, and robust decision frameworks are developing.
- Existing risk management approaches are inadequate for climate change uncertainties.
- Improved methods are needed to integrate climate risks into infrastructure planning.
Conclusions:
- Climate change adaptation for infrastructure demands advanced risk analysis.
- Continued research is essential to enhance the suitability of methods for infrastructure planning.
- The risk analysis community has a key role in addressing future research needs.
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