Circulating CEA-dNLR score predicts clinical outcome of metastatic gallbladder cancer patient

Cancer-related inflammation promotes gallbladder tumorigenesis and metastasis of gallbladder cancer (mGBC). The levels of circulating inflammatory-related cell and protein as well as the ratios of them may imply the severity of chronic inflammation in GBC patients, and all of them are candidate prognostic biomarkers for mGBC.

In our study, pre-treatment circulating immune cell, fibrinogen (Fib), albumin (Alb), and pre-albumin (pAlb) were detected in 220 mGBC patients, and we calculated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Alb-to-Fib ratio (AFR), and Fib-to-pAlb ratio (FPR) replying on the detection. Three years' follow-up was carried out in those patients, and we investigated the possible associations between those biomarkers and three years' overall survival (OS) of these patients using X-tile software, Kaplan-Meier curve, Cox regression, and time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC).

Our results showed that OS of the patients with high pAlb and LMR was significantly superior to the cases with the low biomarkers, respectively. However, survival of the cases with high CEA, dNLR, and FPR was significantly inferior to the patients with low levels of those biomarkers. Area under the curve (AUC) of time-dependent ROC of CEA and dNLR was higher than pAlb, LMR, and FPR, respectively. Additionally, higher CEA-dNLR score (adjusted HR = 3.09, 95% CI = 1.01-4.51 for the score one; adjusted HR = 4.99, 95% CI = 2.32-7.21 for the score two) was significantly associated with reduced survival of the patients, and AUC of the score for predicting clinical outcome of mGBC patients was 0.756, and it was significantly higher than the single CEA and dNLR, respectively.

Our findings implied that pretreatment CEA-dNLR score was superior to the other biomarkers to predict OS of mGBC patients, and it was an independent prognostic factor for the disease.